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August 15, 2011

Nintendo sees stock jump 10%, could rebound to over $50 in 3 years, says analyst

"Nintendo shares spiked 9.8% overnight in Japan on a rumor that the Japanese traded 7974 shares could be added to the Nikkei 225 index. This is great news for Nintendo shareholders as most companies on the verge of self-destruction are rarely added to benchmark indices. When stocks are added or dropped from market indices it forces ETFs, and mutual funds to buy or sell shares. In the case of Nintendo, any fund that attempts to mimic the Nikkei 225 will have to buy up shares.

I believe we are seeing savvy buyers trying to front run that trade. If you know that there are big ETF and mutual fund buyers waiting for the rumor to become official, why not get in ahead of them? This is why I believe that Nintendo is up on the day. We own the NTDOY ADR for clients and in our personal accounts and this move above $19/share is just the beginning of what we believe is in store for this company. I believe NTDOY could reach $50-65/share over the next 3 years, so this $1.50 move today is welcome but not exactly a tectonic shift. We continue to like shares, and today's rumor of the addition to the Nikkei 225 should be viewed as a vote of confidence in Nintendo's future." - Panoptic Management Consultants CEO Asif Khan

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